No Surprises Act Arbitration Statistics: 2026 Report

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We analyzed No Surprises Act arbitration statistics for 2025, the most recent full year of federal data, with 2024 for comparison. The No Surprises Act sends out-of-network payment disputes between providers and health plans to a certified independent dispute resolution (IDR) entity, which picks either the provider's offer or the plan's offer as the payment amount.

Figures come from two CMS data sets published as of October 8, 2026. The first is the Federal IDR supplemental tables for each quarter of 2024 and 2025, which give official counts of disputes initiated, payment determinations, prevailing parties and the top initiating and non-initiating parties. The second is the Federal IDR public use file (PUF) for each quarter of 2025, which lists every line item in disputes closed with a payment determination, 5,728,139 line items across 2,180,938 disputes. We used the PUF to calculate win rates and median offers by specialty, initiating party type, practice size, provider email domain, state and service code.

Offers in the PUF are stated as a share of the qualifying payment amount (QPA), the plan's median in-network rate for the service, and we summarize them as medians. Provider win rate is the share of decided line items where the certified IDR entity chose the provider's or facility's offer. Specialty groups follow the CPT ranges CMS uses in its supplemental tables.

No Surprises Act Arbitration Volume, 2024 and 2025

Annual figures are the sum of the four quarterly CMS supplemental tables and include air ambulance disputes.

No Surprises Act Arbitration Totals, 2024 and 2025
Measure20242025Change
Disputes initiated1,463,8722,559,375+74.8%
Initiated by providers1,271,4962,007,097+57.9%
Initiated by facilities191,916551,970+187.6%
Initiated by health plans or issuers460308-33.0%
Payment determinations1,047,5752,227,286+112.6%
Provider, facility or air ambulance prevailed888,794 (84.8%)1,928,831 (86.6%)+1.8 points
Health plan or issuer prevailed158,107 (15.1%)296,180 (13.3%)-1.8 points
Only one party submitted an offer210,908 (20.1%)432,790 (19.4%)-0.7 points
Prevailing offer above the QPA885,849 (84.6%)1,942,440 (87.2%)+2.6 points
  • Disputes initiated rose 74.8% to 2,559,375 in 2025. Payment determinations more than doubled to 2,227,286.
  • Facilities initiated 21.6% of 2025 disputes, up from 13.1% in 2024.
  • Health plans initiated 308 of the 2,559,375 disputes filed in 2025.
  • A CMS readout of an October 1, 2026 meeting with certified IDR entities says the process has received and closed more than 7 million disputes since April 2022.

Federal IDR Prevailing Party Rates by Quarter, 2025

Quarterly figures come from Table 1 and Table 12 of each CMS supplemental release.

Federal IDR Disputes and Payment Determinations by Quarter, 2025
QuarterDisputes InitiatedPayment DeterminationsProvider Side PrevailedPlan PrevailedOne Party OnlyPrevailing Offer Above QPA
2025 Q1545,422466,22787.4%12.5%23.0%87.5%
2025 Q2641,390616,02088.2%11.7%22.1%87.5%
2025 Q3653,445602,90186.8%13.1%19.6%86.8%
2025 Q4719,118542,13883.8%16.1%13.2%87.1%
No Surprises Act Arbitration Disputes by Quarter, 2024 to 2025
Figure 1. No Surprises Act Arbitration Disputes by Quarter, 2024 to 2025
  • Plans prevailed in 16.1% of payment determinations in 2025 Q4, the highest rate of any 2025 quarter.
  • Determinations where only one party submitted an offer fell from 23.0% in Q1 to 13.2% in Q4.
  • Initiations rose every quarter of 2025, from 545,422 in Q1 to 719,118 in Q4.

Top Initiating Parties in No Surprises Act Arbitration

CMS lists the ten parties or representatives that initiated the most disputes each quarter, excluding air ambulance. Eight appeared in the top ten in all four quarters of 2025. Shares below use the 2,516,173 non-air-ambulance disputes initiated in 2025.

Top Initiating Parties in Federal IDR, 2025
Initiating Party or Representative2025 Q12025 Q22025 Q32025 Q42025 TotalShare of 2025 Disputes2024 TotalChange
HaloMD89,777140,520121,155134,467485,91919.3%189,865+155.9%
Team Health79,89280,57273,50175,762309,72712.3%168,498+83.8%
SCP Health58,91769,64362,09950,451241,1109.6%163,621+47.4%
Radiology Partners63,02547,99333,19436,312180,5247.2%246,649-26.8%
F&A Management22,02531,01241,97539,683134,6955.4%Not in top 10Not available
QMACS17,73521,43425,28532,49396,9473.9%Not in top 10Not available
M&D Capital Advisors13,59017,87627,77135,71894,9553.8%7,396 (top 10 in 2024 Q3 only)Not available
US Anesthesia Partners13,66715,78816,97417,17463,6032.5%Not in top 10Not available
Top Initiating Parties in No Surprises Act Arbitration, 2025
Figure 2. Top Initiating Parties in No Surprises Act Arbitration, 2025
  • HaloMD, Team Health and SCP Health initiated 1,036,756 disputes in 2025, or 41.2% of the non-air-ambulance total. CMS's background report for the second half of 2025 puts their share at about 38% for those six months and says the three represent thousands of clinicians across multiple states.
  • Radiology Partners was the largest initiator in 2024 Q1 through Q3 and fell to fourth in 2025, with 26.8% fewer disputes.
  • Radix entered the top ten in 2025 Q3 and initiated 32,329 disputes in Q4. Envision, Prime Healthcare and RPMG were in the top ten in all four quarters of 2024 and in only one or two quarters of 2025.

Top Non-Initiating Parties in Federal IDR

Non-initiating parties are mostly health plans and the vendors that respond to disputes for them. CMS lists the ten non-initiating parties with the most disputes each quarter. The table shows the parties in that top ten in all four quarters of 2025; BCBS Florida, in the top ten for three quarters with 27,009 disputes, is not shown.

Top Non-Initiating Parties in Federal IDR, 2025
Non-Initiating Party or Representative2025 DisputesShare of 2025 Disputes
UnitedHealthcare673,11026.8%
BCBS Texas419,32616.7%
Aetna328,99313.1%
Claritev (formerly MultiPlan)279,35111.1%
Anthem206,1698.2%
ClearHealth Strategies178,3177.1%
Cigna79,8523.2%
BCBS Arizona44,0181.7%
  • UnitedHealthcare was the non-initiating party in 26.8% of 2025 disputes, the largest share in every quarter.
  • Disputes naming BCBS Texas rose from 75,181 in Q1 to 129,662 in Q4.

No Surprises Act Arbitration Results by Specialty

Determination counts and quarterly medians come from CMS supplemental Table 14. The provider win rate and the median offers come from our analysis of the 2025 PUF line items in the same CPT ranges.

Federal IDR Prevailing Offers and Win Rates by Specialty, 2025
Specialty2025 Determinations (CMS)Share of All Determinations Involving the GroupMedian Prevailing % of QPA, Q1 / Q2 / Q3 / Q4 (CMS)Provider Win Rate (PUF)Median Provider Offer % of QPA (PUF)Median Plan Offer % of QPA (PUF)Median Prevailing % of QPA (PUF)
Emergency department services1,080,88448.5%314 / 312 / 324 / 33485.0%368%100%320%
Radiology377,23616.9%469 / 512 / 473 / 39891.0%500%100%471%
Anesthesia217,1429.7%309 / 312 / 326 / 36181.8%439%117%326%
Surgery194,5958.7%1,330 / 1,319 / 1,449 / 1,50386.8%1,974%100%1,394%
Neurology and neuromuscular procedures144,9856.5%2,036 / 2,862 / 2,394 / 2,58586.9%3,227%100%2,427%
Pathology and laboratory111,5005.0%470 / 450 / 452 / 44082.7%543%100%450%
Injections and infusions66,5283.0%368 / 400 / 428 / 42484.6%487%100%410%
Critical care48,3682.2%340 / 338 / 321 / 34787.0%365%112%337%
Cardiovascular46,1312.1%440 / 445 / 474 / 47486.1%540%100%461%
Hospital inpatient and observation44,8992.0%380 / 357 / 358 / 37085.2%418%100%367%
No Surprises Act Arbitration Prevailing Offers by Specialty, 2025
Figure 3. No Surprises Act Arbitration Prevailing Offers by Specialty, 2025
  • Emergency department services were involved in 48.5% of 2025 payment determinations, more than any other group. A determination can cover services in more than one group, so the shares add to more than 100%. The median prevailing offer in that group rose from 314% of the QPA in Q1 to 334% in Q4.
  • Neurology and neuromuscular procedures had the highest median prevailing offer in the PUF, 2,427% of the QPA. This range includes intraoperative neuromonitoring codes.
  • Radiology had the highest provider win rate, 91.0% of decided line items. Its median prevailing offer fell from 512% of the QPA in Q2 to 398% in Q4.
  • The median plan offer was exactly 100% of the QPA in eight of the ten groups.

Federal IDR Payment Amounts for Common Service Codes

The PUF also reports dollar amounts for the QPA and each offer. Medians for high-volume service codes are taken over the 2025 line items where that amount is reported.

Federal IDR Median Dollar Amounts by Service Code, 2025
Service CodeDescriptionLine ItemsMedian QPAMedian Provider OfferMedian Plan OfferMedian Prevailing OfferProvider Win Rate
99284Emergency department visit, moderate1,007,416$216.05$718.48$282.65$664.0285.3%
99285Emergency department visit, high586,547$292.14$921.59$365.45$870.9184.8%
99283Emergency department visit, low269,655$187.17$1,813.84$207.80$1,250.0083.9%
71045Chest X-ray, single view112,965$11.68$99.45$16.00$99.4591.4%
85025Complete blood count with automated differential95,633$47.30$267.87$48.92$267.8786.0%
74177CT abdomen and pelvis with contrast95,274$146.02$1,099.80$160.00$1,029.7090.0%
77067Screening mammography, both breasts79,914$65.22$191.75$71.64$191.7594.6%
99291Critical care, first 30 to 74 minutes76,681$315.23$1,077.00$461.16$1,041.2887.1%
70450CT head without contrast67,819$69.03$414.05$83.00$387.8090.8%
95938Somatosensory evoked potentials58,772$57.74$3,924.12$72.10$2,560.0086.9%
00812Anesthesia for screening colonoscopy50,979$247.22$1,530.00$349.68$1,130.0077.9%
95941Remote neuromonitoring, per hour39,461$370.68$5,382.00$406.18$4,962.9988.1%
  • For 99284, the most disputed code, the median prevailing offer was $664.02 against a median QPA of $216.05.
  • The median prevailing offer for 95938 was $2,560.00 on a median QPA of $57.74.
  • Anesthesia for screening colonoscopy, 00812, had the lowest provider win rate in the table, 77.9%.

Federal IDR Outcomes by Initiating Party Type and Practice Size

These figures come from the 2025 PUF line items.

Federal IDR Outcomes by Initiating Party Type and Practice Size, 2025
GroupLine ItemsDisputesProvider Win RateMedian Provider Offer % of QPAMedian Prevailing % of QPA
Initiated by health care provider3,660,9131,744,09087.6%471%404%
Initiated by health care facility2,066,849436,75182.1%461%377%
Fewer than 20 employees333,891222,23288.0%1,018%658%
20 to 50 employees2,229,786844,22884.5%607%507%
51 to 100 employees587,141299,95585.5%425%371%
101 to 500 employees1,667,348527,97989.1%433%394%
Over 500 employees844,987269,16487.5%293%270%
  • Practices with fewer than 20 employees had a median prevailing offer of 658% of the QPA. For practices with more than 500 employees it was 270%.
  • Facility-initiated line items had a provider win rate of 82.1%, against 87.6% for provider-initiated line items.

Federal IDR Results by Provider Email Domain

The PUF records the email domain of the provider or its representative.

Federal IDR Line Items by Provider Email Domain, 2025
Provider Email DomainLine ItemsDisputesProvider Win RateMedian Provider Offer % of QPAMedian Prevailing % of QPA
halomd.com950,029407,38189.0%691%613%
fam-llc.com572,577112,75779.9%877%671%
teamhealth.com508,794292,53693.3%273%263%
saparm.com428,041117,79395.0%637%574%
primehealthcare.com295,20832,06491.2%301%277%
envisionhealth.com225,15844,64185.4%252%227%
totalcare.us186,19826,00578.7%1,249%828%
agshealth.com146,79798,27687.9%358%343%
scp-health.com138,26193,86189.5%359%344%
bmhcc.org137,53615,00586.0%320%282%
  • Line items from halomd.com addresses made up 16.6% of all 2025 PUF line items, with a median prevailing offer of 613% of the QPA.
  • teamhealth.com line items had a 93.3% provider win rate and a median prevailing offer of 263% of the QPA.

Federal IDR Disputes by State

Texas was the location of service for 2,537,793 line items, 44.3% of the 2025 PUF, and 869,943 disputes.

Federal IDR Line Items by State, 2025
StateLine ItemsDisputesProvider Win RateMedian Prevailing % of QPA
Texas2,537,793869,94385.8%480%
Arizona440,310160,51183.3%479%
Florida383,413143,28487.6%259%
Tennessee231,47372,48683.8%284%
California210,00469,66588.5%263%
New York172,81379,67686.5%538%
Georgia169,55571,62085.8%298%
New Jersey158,239105,24386.0%1,347%
Indiana135,95470,41387.3%359%
Oklahoma121,06149,63892.4%523%
  • New Jersey had the highest median prevailing offer among the ten states, 1,347% of the QPA.

Data Limits for No Surprises Act Arbitration Statistics

The supplemental tables count disputes, and the PUF counts line items, so a bundled dispute with many services appears once in the first and many times in the second. The PUF covers disputes closed with a payment determination in each quarter, so its 2025 totals do not match the supplemental table counts of determinations made. Q1 and Q2 PUF files were generated August 7, 2025, and Q3 and Q4 files January 26, 2026.

Some service codes, such as 99283, appear in both facility and professional claims, which puts very different QPAs in one median. Median offers are calculated over line items with a reported value. Email domains can belong to a provider group, a billing company or a dispute vendor, and one organization can use more than one domain. Plan names in the PUF are free text with many spellings, so plan rankings use the CMS supplemental tables. No 2026 quarter had been published as of October 8, 2026.

Sources

  1. Healthcare Industry Reviews, No Surprises Act Arbitration Study: analysis of CMS Federal IDR public use files for 2025 and supplemental tables for 2024 and 2025, conducted October 2026.
  2. Federal IDR process reports and data. Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services, accessed October 8, 2026.
  3. Federal IDR public use file, 2025 Q1. CMS, generated August 7, 2025.
  4. Federal IDR public use file, 2025 Q2. CMS, generated August 7, 2025.
  5. Federal IDR public use file, 2025 Q3. CMS, generated January 26, 2026.
  6. Federal IDR public use file, 2025 Q4. CMS, generated January 26, 2026.
  7. Federal IDR PUF general information. CMS.
  8. Federal IDR supplemental tables, 2025 Q1 and 2025 Q2. CMS.
  9. Federal IDR supplemental tables, 2025 Q3 and 2025 Q4. CMS.
  10. Federal IDR supplemental tables, 2024 Q1, Q2, Q3 and Q4. CMS.
  11. Supplemental background on Federal IDR PUF, July 1 to December 31, 2025. CMS.
  12. CMS convenes certified independent dispute resolution entity leaders. CMS readout, October 1, 2026.